← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Sep 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Darmstadt win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Darmstadt +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 10' | ⚽ | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 24' | ⚽ | Jannik Müller · Darmstadt |
| 71' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 456.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1566.79 | 1586.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.49 | 14.09 |
| eye test v1 | 1.83 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 28.05 |
| state index | 0.86 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |