← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Sep 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Hannover win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 11' | 🟨 | Mario Vušković · Hamburger SV |
| 15' | ⚽ (og) | Julian Börner · Hamburger SV |
| 28' | 🟨 | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 33' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sonny Kittel · Hamburger SV |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 91.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1488.80 | 1646.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.50 | 19.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| league points | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 26.20 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |