← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Sep 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 27% | 3.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
| 20' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 41' | 🟥 | Andreas Luthe · Kaiserslautern |
| 44' | ⚽ | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 60' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 67' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Erik Durm · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5496.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.09 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1537.15 | 1498.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.43 | 4.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.62 |
| league points | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 28.88 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |