← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Sep 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Regensburg win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.75 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · Regensburg |
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 32' | 🟨 | Jakov Medić · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 41' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 52' | 🟨 | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 57' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 77' | 🟨 | Connor Metcalfe · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 1905.00 | 809.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1401.92 | 1509.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.97 | -10.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 25.38 |
| state index | -1.48 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |