← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bielefeld −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 36' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Bielefeld |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marc Rzatkowski · Bielefeld |
| 48' | ⚽ | Masaya Okugawa · Bielefeld |
| 57' | 🟨 | Philipp Sander · Holstein Kiel |
| 59' | ⚽ | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ivan Lepinjica · Bielefeld |
| 68' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 85' | ⚽ | Bryan Lasme · Bielefeld |
| 86' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 32 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 47.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1527.16 | 1492.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.34 | -7.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| league points | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 27.38 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |