β 2. Bundesliga 2022 Β· Sun, Sep 11, 11:30 AM UTC Β· ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 18% | 5.55 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 β0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| SV Sandhausen β0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | π¨ | Matondo-Merveille Papela Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 38' | β½ | Jackson Irvine Β· FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | π¨ | Tom Trybull Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 71' | β½ | David Kinsombi Β· SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 802.00 | 375.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1513.14 | 1445.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.21 | -18.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 68.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |