← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Sep 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Magdeburg win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Oussama Haddadi · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | ⚽ | Cristiano Piccini · Magdeburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 43' | 🟨 | Oualid Mhamdi · Greuther Furth |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marco John · Greuther Furth |
| 86' | ⚽ | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Afimico Pululu · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 587.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1386.09 | 1472.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.97 | -28.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| league points | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 24.71 |
| state index | -1.28 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |