← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.62 |
| Regensburg win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Marcel Hoffmeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Scott Kennedy · Regensburg |
| 39' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 68' | 🟥 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 69' | ⚽ | Robert Leipertz · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julian Justvan · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 11 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 436.00 | 1897.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1570.76 | 1409.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.72 | -44.11 |
| eye test v1 | 2.15 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.45 | 26.83 |
| state index | 1.05 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |