← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Sep 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Hannover win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hannover +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 39' | 🟨 | Dennis Dressel · Hansa Rostock |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Hansa Rostock |
| 72' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 1342.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1432.18 | 1472.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.26 | 29.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 1.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 26.05 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |