← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Sep 4, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 |
| Bielefeld win | 17% | 5.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Bielefeld −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 19' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 69' | 🟨 | Masaya Okugawa · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 430.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.83 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1582.65 | 1534.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.91 | -44.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 26.29 |
| state index | 0.93 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |