← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Sep 3, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 |
| Karlsruhe win | 22% | 4.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 79' | 🟨 | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 429.00 | 945.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1625.37 | 1476.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.43 | 37.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 20.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 27.14 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.82 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |