← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Sep 3, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.16 |
| Magdeburg win | 16% | 6.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −1.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 75% | 1.29 |
| Under | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Andreas Müller · Magdeburg |
| 28' | 🟨 | Jamie Lawrence · Magdeburg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jamie Lawrence · Magdeburg |
| 40' | 🟥 | Jamie Lawrence · Magdeburg |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dominik Reimann · Magdeburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Maximilian Rohr · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 79' | ⚽ | Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 6 |
| 13 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 429.00 | 579.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1566.68 | 1390.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.18 | -22.45 |
| eye test v1 | 1.37 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.56 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 24.25 |
| state index | 0.80 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |