← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 28, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Magdeburg win | 21% | 4.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Magdeburg −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 11' | ⚽ | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 17' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 22' | ⚽ | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 40' | ⚽ | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 47' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Kaiserslautern |
| 64' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Mike Wunderlich · Kaiserslautern |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alexander Bittroff · Magdeburg |
| 79' | ⚽ (og) | Boris Tomiak · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| coach days | 119.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1501.94 | 1385.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.05 | -35.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.20 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.81 | 25.19 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.58 | 1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |