← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 28, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alexander Esswein · SV Sandhausen |
| 72' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marvin Schulz · Holstein Kiel |
| 86' | 🟨 | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 3.80 |
| coach days | 331.00 | 361.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1494.38 | 1453.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.50 | -4.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -2.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 27.75 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |