← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 28, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Greuther Furth win | 29% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 52' | ⚽ | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 54' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 70' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 81' | ⚽ | Afimico Pululu · Greuther Furth |
| 84' | 🟨 | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 86' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 58.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1463.24 | 1481.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.02 | -35.99 |
| eye test v1 | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 24.77 |
| state index | 0.16 | -1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |