← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Nurnberg win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 37' | ⚽ | Mario Vušković · Hamburger SV |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sadik Fofana · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 787.00 | 422.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1478.93 | 1613.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.18 | -1.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.81 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 25.91 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |