← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 27% | 3.59 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 30' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 32' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Karlsruhe |
| 40' | ⚽ | Malik Batmaz · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ryan Malone · Hansa Rostock |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
| 76' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Dressel · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 938.00 | 1334.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1464.88 | 1443.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.47 | 26.33 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.54 | 28.36 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |