← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.89 |
| Heidenheim win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 10' | 🟨 | Adrian Beck · Heidenheim |
| 17' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Darmstadt |
| 36' | ⚽ | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 54' | 🟨 | Kevin Sessa · Heidenheim |
| 65' | 🟨 | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 70' | ⚽ | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 76' | ⚽ | Frank Ronstadt · Darmstadt |
| 82' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jonas Föhrenbach |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| coach days | 422.00 | 5474.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1585.99 | 1525.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.93 | 30.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |