← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 37% | 2.55 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 17' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 25' | 🟨 | Ryan Malone · Hansa Rostock |
| 26' | 🟨 | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 1328.00 | 781.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1426.91 | 1529.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.93 | 20.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 24.86 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |