← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 |
| Bielefeld win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Heidenheim −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 3' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 10' | ⚽ | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 62' | 🟨 | Frederik Jäkel · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Frederik Jäkel · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟥 | Frederik Jäkel · Bielefeld |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jan Schöppner · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefanos Kapino · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5468.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1527.18 | 1526.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.41 | -59.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | — |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 27.08 |
| state index | 0.79 | -1.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |