← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 37% | 2.68 |
| Nurnberg win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Nurnberg +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Bashkim Ajdini · SV Sandhausen |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 49' | ⚽ | Christoph Daferner · Nurnberg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Marcel Ritzmaier · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kwadwo Duah · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| coach days | 353.00 | 780.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1464.74 | 1467.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.08 | -20.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.16 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.47 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |