← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.36 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Benedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel |
| 7' | ⚽ (pen) | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 9' | ⚽ | Julian Korb · Holstein Kiel |
| 13' | ⚽ | Julian Justvan · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 25' | ⚽ | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 37' | 🟨 | Philipp Sander · Holstein Kiel |
| 38' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 52' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 5 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 4 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jann-Fiete Arp · Holstein Kiel |
| 80' | ⚽ | Dennis Srbeny · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jonas Carls · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 415.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1552.29 | 1508.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.41 | 3.60 |
| eye test v1 | 1.37 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |