← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Karlsruhe win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 7' | ⚽ | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 8' | 🟨 | Dejan Stojanović · Regensburg |
| 14' | ⚽ | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 42' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 48' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 63' | 🟨 | Stephan Kofi Ambrosius · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 78' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1876.00 | 931.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1444.09 | 1439.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.34 | -23.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 28.79 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |