← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Aug 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Schröder
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Darmstadt win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 7' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 30' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 58' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 58' | 🟥 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aaron Opoku · Hamburger SV |
| 61' | 🟨 | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 62' | 🟨 | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | 🟥 | Aaron Opoku · Hamburger SV |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 22 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 89' | 🟥 | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| coach days | 414.00 | 414.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1626.70 | 1572.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.44 | 16.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| league points | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.53 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |