← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Regensburg win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 37' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 83' | ⚽ | Antonio Foti · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 44.00 | 1870.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1434.49 | 1452.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.11 | 24.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 27.38 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |