← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Nicolas Gavory · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 36' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 43' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ragnar Ache · Greuther Furth |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jordy de Wijs · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 62' | ⚽ | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 72' | ⚽ | Dawid Kownacki · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oualid Mhamdi · Greuther Furth |
| 90' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 🟨 |
| Gian-Luca Itter · Greuther Furth |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 194.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1533.40 | 1497.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.06 | -31.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.15 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |