← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 13, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Bielefeld win | 29% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Bielefeld +0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.67 |
| Under | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 30' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Bielefeld |
| 51' | 🟨 | Moritz Heyer · Hamburger SV |
| 64' | 🟨 | Robin Hack · Bielefeld |
| 74' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 76' | 🟨 | George Bello · Bielefeld |
| 86' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | SchücoArena |
| coach days | 12.00 | 408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1540.50 | 1612.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.49 | 8.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| league points | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 25.89 |
| state index | -1.19 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |