← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Aug 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Braunschweig win | 27% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 20' | 🟨 | Immanuel Pherai · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fabian Schnellhardt · Darmstadt |
| 57' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 86' | ⚽ | Oscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 23 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 432.00 | 402.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1365.40 | 1556.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.28 | -1.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.71 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.76 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 15.79 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 27.89 |
| state index | -1.30 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.53 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |