← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Aug 6, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Hannover win | 28% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 17' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 27' | ⚽ (og) | Luka Krajnc · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 36' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 49' | 🟨 | Louis Schaub · Hannover |
| 52' | ⚽ | Marvin Pieringer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marcel Hoffmeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ron-Robert Zieler · Hannover |
| 60' | ⚽ | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 77' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 29 | Shots | 18 |
| 11 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 89' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · SC Paderborn 07 |
| coach days | 401.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1533.03 | 1443.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.16 | 9.25 |
| eye test v1 | 1.11 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 13.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.48 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |