← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Aug 5, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Karlsruhe win | 27% | 3.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under | 37% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Greuther Furth |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Greuther Furth |
| 65' | 🟨 | Oussama Haddadi · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 88' | 🟨 | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oliver Fobassam · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 35.00 | 916.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1500.89 | 1426.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.68 | -54.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.79 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.43 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 12.21 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -1.08 | -1.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |