← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Jul 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Karlsruhe win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 7' | ⚽ | Andreas Müller · Magdeburg |
| 32' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 34' | ⚽ | Moritz-Broni Kwarteng · Magdeburg |
| 37' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 63' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | ⚽ | Mikkel Kaufmann · Karlsruhe |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tim Sechelmann · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 27 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 904.00 | 538.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1438.94 | 1412.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.13 | -16.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.71 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 25.41 |
| state index | -1.13 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |