← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, Jul 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 61% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 16% | 6.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV −1 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 33' | 🟨 | Frederic Ananou · Hansa Rostock |
| 52' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ogechika Heil · Hamburger SV |
| 81' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 86' | 🟨 | Kevin Schumacher · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Schumacher · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 388.00 | 1300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1622.94 | 1407.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.34 | -15.23 |
| eye test v1 | 1.39 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 28.10 |
| state index | 1.08 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |