← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jul 16, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 46' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 48' | 🟨 | Nicolas Gavory · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 50' | ⚽ | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Andreas Müller · Magdeburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 530.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1421.32 | 1526.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.38 | 6.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 28.79 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |