← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jul 16, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Nurnberg win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 36' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 39' | ⚽ | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 46' | ⚽ | Kwadwo Duah · Nurnberg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 74' | 🟨 | Carlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| Erik Wekesser · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 0.80 |
| coach days | 745.00 | 745.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1523.06 | 1478.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.92 | -38.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |