← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jul 16, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 29% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.72 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
| 31' | 🟨 | Julian Korb · Holstein Kiel |
| 40' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 48' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tobias Raschl · Greuther Furth |
| 76' | ⚽ | Timothy Tillman · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Simon Asta · Greuther Furth |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jeremy Dudziak · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 15.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1517.65 | 1489.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.14 | 12.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 28.35 |
| state index | -0.91 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |