← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, Jul 16, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Regensburg win | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Regensburg +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
| 3' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 37' | 🟥 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 60' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Nicklas Shipnoski · Regensburg |
| 67' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aygün Yıldırım · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1841.00 | 380.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1407.33 | 1570.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.08 | 3.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.10 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 27.06 |
| state index | -0.84 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |