← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, Jul 15, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Hannover win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Hannover +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 11' | ⚽ | Mike Wunderlich · Kaiserslautern |
| 13' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 26' | 🟨 | Terrence Boyd · Kaiserslautern |
| 48' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jean Zimmer · Kaiserslautern |
| 74' | 🟨 | Erik Durm · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lex-Tyger Lobinger · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Andreas Luthe · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Kraus · Kaiserslautern |
| coach days | 75.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1474.89 | 1450.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.24 | 5.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 27.18 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |