← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, May 27, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 |
| Lugo win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Burgos −1 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Lugo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jordi Calavera · Lugo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jesús Areso · Burgos |
| 77' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Pantić · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 1090.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1474.44 | 1322.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.75 | -20.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 60.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 26.31 |
| state index | -0.32 | -1.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |