← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, May 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Burgos win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Burgos −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Álex Corredera · Tenerife |
| 40' | ⚽ | Gaspar Campos · Burgos |
| 50' | 🟨 | Teto · Tenerife |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 68' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
| 79' | ⚽ | Dauda Mohammed · Tenerife |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matos · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Waldo Rubio Marin · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 4 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 930.00 | 1083.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1531.64 | 1481.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.20 | -11.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 56.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 28.11 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |