← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, May 7, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Ponferradina win | 26% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Ponferradina +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Amir Abedzadeh · Ponferradina |
| 4' | 🟨 | Hugo Vallejo · Ponferradina |
| 25' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Ponferradina |
| 38' | 🟨 | Esteban Burgos · Málaga CF |
| 43' | 🟨 | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 52' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Málaga CF |
| 76' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 79' | 🟨 | Francisco Villalba · Málaga CF |
| 86' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 36.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1423.58 | 1480.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.90 | 48.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 40.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.98 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 29.54 |
| state index | -0.93 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |