← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Apr 29, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Cartagena win | 24% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Albacete −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟥 | Mohammed Djetei · Albacete |
| 24' | 🟨 | Jairo Izquierdo · Cartagena |
| 25' | ⚽ | Flavien Boyomo · Albacete |
| 38' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Cartagena |
| 55' | ⚽ | Darío Poveda · Cartagena |
| 70' | 🟨 | Pepê · Cartagena |
| 75' | 🟨 | David Ferreiro · Cartagena |
| 82' | 🟨 | Flavien Boyomo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 332.00 | 848.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1525.38 | 1517.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.30 | 31.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.87 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 66.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 7.19 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 30.11 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | 1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |