← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Apr 16, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Cartagena win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Manolo Reina · Málaga CF |
| -5' | 🟨 | Pablo Vázquez · Cartagena |
| 21' | ⚽ | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Esteban Burgos · Málaga CF |
| 48' | 🟨 | Franchu · Cartagena |
| 69' | 🟨 | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 84' | 🟨 | Rubén Yáñez · Málaga CF |
| 87' | 🟨 | David Ferreiro · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Sol · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 105.00 | 835.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1458.51 | 1511.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.73 | 2.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 39.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.86 | 29.88 |
| state index | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |