← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ponferradina win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 41' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 47' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Curro · Burgos |
| 55' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 69' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Díez Salomón · Ponferradina |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | David Goldar · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 1048.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1496.28 | 1442.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.07 | 5.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 52.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 27.75 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |