← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 61% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Lugo win | 12% | 8.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.75 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Oviedo |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 38' | 🟨 | Andoni López · Lugo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Manu Vallejo · Oviedo |
| 68' | 🟥 | Gui · Lugo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Abel Bretones · Oviedo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 196.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1511.50 | 1360.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.75 | 3.26 |
| eye test v1 | -1.34 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 46.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 36.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 27.94 |
| state index | 0.03 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |