← Segunda División 2022 · Fri, Apr 7, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Lugo win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Lugo +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 43' | 🟨 | Borja Garcés · Tenerife |
| 44' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Pantić · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | José León · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 65.00 | 887.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1357.84 | 1513.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.48 | 9.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 26.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 28.26 |
| state index | -1.09 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |