← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Apr 2, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.99 |
| Lugo win | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Lugo +0 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 22' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 55' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 59' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Ponferradina |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Adrián Castellano · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 60.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1356.73 | 1455.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.98 | -5.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 25.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 8.76 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.91 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.51 |
| state index | -1.20 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |