← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Mar 26, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Víctor García
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Mirandes win | 29% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Naim García · Ponferradina |
| 65' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 72' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jose Salinas · Mirandes |
| 87' | 🟥 | Beñat Prados · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amir Abedzadeh · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 145.00 | 418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1455.86 | 1502.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.48 | 22.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.74 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 37.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.76 | 5.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 23.65 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |