← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza win | 37% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Burgos win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Burgos +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.37 |
| Over | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 29' | 🟨 | Javier Serrano · Ibiza |
| 31' | 🟨 | Fausto Grillo · Ibiza |
| 40' | 🟨 | David Goldar · Burgos |
| 62' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 68' | ⚽ | Iván Morante · Ibiza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lukáš Juliš · Ibiza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marcos Mauro · Ibiza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kaxe · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 144.00 | 1027.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1395.17 | 1514.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.53 | -26.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| league points | 26.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 27.61 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |