← Segunda División 2022 · Fri, Mar 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
| Lugo win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Darío Poveda · Cartagena |
| 54' | ⚽ | Darío Poveda · Cartagena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Cartagena |
| 60' | 🟨 | Castrín · Lugo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Cartagena |
| 79' | 🟨 | Javier Avilés · Lugo |
| 88' | ⚽ | Franchu · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 812.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1477.59 | 1364.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.42 | -2.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 45.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -1.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.22 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.79 | -1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |