← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Mar 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Huesca win | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huesca +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟥 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 32' | ⚽ | Bebé · Zaragoza |
| 35' | 🟥 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 41' | 🟨 | Bebé · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
| 75' | 🟨 | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 261.00 | 138.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1536.69 | 1497.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.93 | -21.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 46.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.49 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.72 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.41 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |